419
FXUS63 KBIS 230725
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
225 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES FLUCTUATING BETWEEN NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.
- BREEZY WINDS TO BE FOUND AT TIMES THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 216 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL WEAKLY AMPLIFY ACROSS WESTERN CONUS
THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVERSE THE MAIN
STREAM DROPPING DOWN INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. MAJORITY OF THE
UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL REMAIN IN MANITOBA KEEPING WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA DRY. A COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW THROUGH WITH
THIS WAVE SHIFTING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE MID 40S ACROSS THE NORTH TO THE LOWER 60S IN
THE SOUTHWEST. PRESSURE RISES ARE STRONGER FURTHER EAST SO THERE
COULD BE BREEZY WINDS IN EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WHILE THE
WEST WILL REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY THE RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY A BIT MORE OVER WESTERN CONUS
KEEPING THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
ANOTHER WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION GIVING WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA A SHOT AT RAIN SNOW MIX BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE WEDNESDAY WITH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AROUND 20 SOUTH TO 50 PERCENT NORTH. RAIN
IS THE LIKELY PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE WHILE LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY. WEDNESDAY IS ALSO FORECAST
TO BE THE WARMEST DAY UNTIL THE WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING FORTH TEMPERATURES FROM 40 IN THE
NORTHEAST HALF OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA TO THE LOWER 70S IN
THE SOUTHWEST. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO FLATTEN BY THURSDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY. TEMPERATURE ARE
FORECAST TO BE BELOW NORMAL RANGING FROM THE 20S NORTH TO THE
LOWER 40S SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND FRIDAY TO NEAR
NORMAL. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE
WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEKEND. THUS, BRINGING BACK ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO NORTHWESTERLY AS A FRONT MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION. THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS AS THE FRONT
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO
PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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