858
FXUS63 KBIS 241125
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
625 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND
TOMORROW. THEN TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
AND NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS
WEEKEND.
- LIGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IS THE MAIN PRECIPITATION
TYPE.
- FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS. A
LIGHT GLAZE IS POSSIBLE.
- INTERMITTENT BREEZY WINDS THIS WEEK, MAINLY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 622 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION NO UPDATE IS NEEDED AT
THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
TODAY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY A OVER
WESTERN CONUS KEEPING THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON GIVING AROUND 10-15 PERCENT SHOT OF RAIN ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY
EVAPORATE BEFORE TOUCHING THE GROUND DUE TO THE HIGHER CLOUD
BASES. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO WARM
INTO THE 40S AND 50S ACROSS THE STATE WITH SOUTHWEST WARMING
INTO THE 60S. HOWEVER, THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS ARE FORECAST TO SIT
IN THE MID 30S TODAY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE
WEDNESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES AROUND 20 SOUTH TO 40
PERCENT NORTH. RAIN IS THE LIKELY PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WHILE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER INTO THE TURTLE
MOUNTAINS. A LIGHT GLAZE IS POSSIBLE MAKING CONDITIONS SLICK.
PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY IS ALSO FORECAST TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF
THE WEEK UNTIL THE WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION BRINGING FORTH TEMPERATURES FROM 40S IN THE TURTLE
MOUNTAINS TO THE LOWER 70S IN THE SOUTHWEST. ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A RAIN
SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE ALONG THIS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER WESTERN CONUS IS FORECAST TO FLATTEN
BY THURSDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
THURSDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE, BUT A MAJORITY OF THE PRESSURE RISES
REMAIN OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA.
TEMPERATURE ARE FORECAST TO BE BELOW NORMAL RANGING FROM THE 20S
NORTH TO THE LOWER 40S SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND FRIDAY
TO NEAR NORMAL WITH 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
HALF OF THE STATE. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD
ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEKEND. THUS, BRINGING BACK ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 622 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
WINDS WILL VEER FROM EASTERLY THIS MORNING TO SOUTHERLY BY
THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH HIGH CLOUDS PASSING OVER. THERE ARE SOME SITES THAT COULD
SOME SLIGHT VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS THIS MORNING FROM BR, WILL
AMEND TAFS IF BR FORMS.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...JOHNSON
DISCUSSION...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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