730
FXUS63 KBIS 140206
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
906 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A CHILLY NIGHT TONIGHT, WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOME MID 30 DEGREE READINGS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FAR SOUTHWEST, WHICH COULD LEAD TO A COUPLE HOURS OF PATCHY
FROST LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
- NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- MAINLY DRY ON SUNDAY, THEN FREQUENT PRECIPITATION CHANCES
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 906 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
OTHER THAN PARTS OF THE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL, SKIES HAVE CLEARED
ACROSS WESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF A FEW MID AND ESPECIALLY HIGH CLOUDS. ALL IN ALL, THE
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR UPDATES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE MID 30S, THE MAIN
UPDATE WAS TO LOWER LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST AND
ADD A LITTLE PATCHY FROST. IT'S VERY CONDITIONAL AS TO WHETHER
FROST DEVELOPS AS LINGERING MID TO HIGH CLOUD IS UNCERTAIN, AS
IS TO WHETHER OR NOT WINDS WILL GO COMPLETEY CALM. OTHERWISE,
THE ONGOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AS THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES LOW OVER NORTHEAST ONTARIO, WITH
HIGH STRETCHING FROM ALBERTA THROUGH CENTRAL MONTANA. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS PLACES LOW OVER NORTHERN ONTARIO, WITH NOTABLE
SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS
FEATURE PRODUCED SOME RAIN SHOWERS EARLIER TODAY OVER NORTHERN
NORTH DAKOTA, BUT THE SHOWERS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER OUR AREA.
FOR TONIGHT, WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SURFACE HIGH STRETCHES INTO
THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO CHILLY LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S, ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.
ON SUNDAY, A MAINLY QUIET DAY IS EXPECTED WITH MOST RAIN SHOWERS
IN CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT REMAINING TO OUR EAST, THOUGH CAN'T RULE
OUT A FEW SNEAKING INTO OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES DO REBOUND SOME,
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS WE END
UP IN A PERPETUAL CYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN, RESULTING IN DAILY
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS OVER VARIOUS PARTS OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE
CLEARING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TO
MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...TELKEN
DISCUSSION...JJS
AVIATION...TELKEN
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