131
FXUS63 KBIS 140609
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
109 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A CHILLY NIGHT TONIGHT, WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S.
- SOME MID 30 DEGREE READINGS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST,
WHICH COULD LEAD TO A COUPLE HOURS OF PATCHY FROST LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
- NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- MAINLY DRY ON SUNDAY, THEN MORE FREQUENT PRECIPITATION
CHANCES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED FOR THIS UPDATE. CURRENT CONDITIONS AND
TRENDS HAVE BEEN BLENDED INTO THE FORECAST.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 906 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
OTHER THAN PARTS OF THE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL, SKIES HAVE CLEARED
ACROSS WESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF A FEW MID AND ESPECIALLY HIGH CLOUDS. ALL IN ALL, THE
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR UPDATES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE MID 30S, THE MAIN
UPDATE WAS TO LOWER LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST AND
ADD A LITTLE PATCHY FROST. IT'S VERY CONDITIONAL AS TO WHETHER
FROST DEVELOPS AS LINGERING MID TO HIGH CLOUD IS UNCERTAIN, AS
IS TO WHETHER OR NOT WINDS WILL GO COMPLETEY CALM. OTHERWISE,
THE ONGOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AS THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES LOW OVER NORTHEAST ONTARIO, WITH
HIGH STRETCHING FROM ALBERTA THROUGH CENTRAL MONTANA. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS PLACES LOW OVER NORTHERN ONTARIO, WITH NOTABLE
SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS
FEATURE PRODUCED SOME RAIN SHOWERS EARLIER TODAY OVER NORTHERN
NORTH DAKOTA, BUT THE SHOWERS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER OUR AREA.
FOR TONIGHT, WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SURFACE HIGH STRETCHES INTO
THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO CHILLY LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S, ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.
ON SUNDAY, A MAINLY QUIET DAY IS EXPECTED WITH MOST RAIN SHOWERS
IN CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT REMAINING TO OUR EAST, THOUGH CAN'T RULE
OUT A FEW SNEAKING INTO OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES DO REBOUND SOME,
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS WE END
UP IN A PERPETUAL CYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN, RESULTING IN DAILY
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/STORMS OVER VARIOUS PARTS OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 108 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT
NORTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10-15 KTS
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...HOLLAN
DISCUSSION...JJS
AVIATION...HOLLAN
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