672
FXUS64 KBMX 270558 CCA
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1229 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
- ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUDN 1" ARE LIKELY
WITH A MEDIUM (30-40%) CHANCE OF GREATER THAN 1" OF RAIN IN THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
- THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FROST IN THE FAR NORTH ON
FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THERE IS A
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE AT SEEING PATCHY FROST FOR A GOOD PORTION
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SATURDAY MORNING. LOWS WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE
30S.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING, BUT
LINGERING LIGHT RAIN MAY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. CLOUDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY, WHICH WILL LIMIT HOW
MUCH WARMING WE SEE THROUGH THE DAY.
WE'LL HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY BEFORE
OUR NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION. THIS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS TRENDED DEEPER OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS, NOW PRODUCING MORE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH THE CAD
WEDGE IN PLACE ON TUESDAY AND PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER, I DON'T SEE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY, SO EVEN WITH THIS DYNAMIC SYSTEM,
THE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES ARE LOW.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE BROUGHT
INTO CENTRAL AL FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. FROST CONDITIONS LOOK
TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE NORTHERN LOCATIONS FRIDAY MORNING AND FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
A MESSY PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITH THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH, PERSISTENT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY FOR ALL SITES, AS THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS MOVE OVER TERMINALS, WE COULD SEE TEMPORARY LOW
VIS. AS THE RAIN ENDS TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING, CIGS
ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO IFR THEN LIFR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
25/OWEN
FIRE WEATHER
AN ACTIVE PATTERN IS SETTING UP FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST. WINDS
INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS OUR NEXT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES IN BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 59 49 63 47 / 90 30 10 60
ANNISTON 59 50 62 49 / 80 30 0 50
BIRMINGHAM 60 52 64 51 / 70 20 0 60
TUSCALOOSA 65 52 68 50 / 50 10 10 70
CALERA 64 50 67 50 / 60 10 0 50
AUBURN 61 51 63 51 / 70 30 0 30
MONTGOMERY 66 53 65 52 / 50 10 0 30
TROY 67 52 65 52 / 50 10 0 20
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...25/OWEN
AVIATION...25/OWEN
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