788
FXUS64 KBMX 272257
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
557 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 555 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
- ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 1" ARE LIKELY
WITH A MEDIUM (30-40%) CHANCE OF GREATER THAN 1" OF RAIN IN THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
- PATCHY FROST IS FORECAST FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BOTH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS. THOSE WITH FROST SENSITIVE PLANTS
WILL NEED TO MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE COLD CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 555 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
INCLUDED SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE /FOG OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT AS
THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE. PRETTY SIGNIFICANT
DRIZZLE IN SPOTS RIGHT NOW REDUCING VISIBILITY. EXPECT CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITY TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NIGHT, BUT VARIABLE AT TIMES.
16
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
CLOUDY AND DAMP WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA TONIGHT, WITH AN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. WHILE THE STEADY
RAIN HAS PRETTY MUCH ENDED, THERE'S STILL BOUND TO BE SOME SPOTS
OF LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES/DRIZZLE AROUND. TUESDAY IS FORECAST TO BE
DRY, BUT WILL STILL LIKELY FEATURE PLENTY OF CLOUDS.
OUR NEXT WEATHER MAKER WILL BE ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW, THE
QUICKLY DIGS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST
STATES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. LOTS OF LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS COLD CORE LOW WILL LEAD TO ROUGHLY 0.50-1.00 INCHES OF RAIN
IN THE NORTH HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA, TO A COUPLE TENTHS TO UNDER A
HALF INCH IN THE SOUTH.
CONDITIONS ARE FINALLY FORECAST TO CLEAR OUT THE END OF THE WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED RIGHT OVER US BY SATURDAY
MORNING. THE CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND COLDER AIR MASS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO PATCHY FROST FORMATION FOR MUCH OF THE AREA -- IF
NOT FRIDAY MORNING, THEN MORE SO ON SATURDAY MORNING.
/61/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 555 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2025
CEILINGS ARE DROPPING BELOW 1000 FT RIGHT NOW AT MANY SITES IN
ADDITION TO PATCHY FOG AND LIGHT DRIZZLE. WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME
IMPROVEMENT IN CEILINGS AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY, MOISTURE PROFILES
SUGGEST THAT CEILING LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO STAY BELOW 1500 FT
THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
16
FIRE WEATHER
AN ACTIVE PATTERN IS SETTING UP FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS INCREASE
AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS OUR NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVES IN BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 50 64 47 57 / 20 0 80 90
ANNISTON 50 62 48 58 / 20 0 70 90
BIRMINGHAM 52 65 51 57 / 10 0 80 80
TUSCALOOSA 53 68 51 60 / 0 10 90 70
CALERA 51 67 50 60 / 0 0 80 70
AUBURN 52 63 50 61 / 20 0 40 70
MONTGOMERY 54 67 52 63 / 0 0 50 60
TROY 53 67 51 63 / 0 0 30 60
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16
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