173
FXUS64 KBMX 311700
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1200 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1148 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
- BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- FROST DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING.
A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM SATURDAY
MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ACTIVITY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
THE WEATHER STORY FOR THE NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN THIS COLDER WEATHER,
AS THE NEXT REINFORCING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE REGION
BY SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL FIRST MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A
LONGWAVE, BEFORE BECOMING CLOSED OFF OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY
WHILE CONTINUING TO DROP SE. RAIN CHANCES WILL ONLY SLIGHTLY
INCREASE IN OUR NORTH ZONES BY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH ONLY LINGERING
SHOWERS EXPECTED INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
WINDS WILL QUICKLY SWING BACK AROUND TO THE NORTH DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME, WITH THAT AFOREMENTIONED PUSH OF REINFORCING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FOLLOWING RIGHT BEHIND IT. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL GENERALLY
ONLY DROP A FEW DEGREES, BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD FALL BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER-30S BY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, A SURFACE RIDGE
WILL BEGIN BUILDING ALONG THE GULF COAST BY TUESDAY, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN REBOUNDING TO A MORE SEASONABLE FEEL BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE NEW WORKWEEK.
/44/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
RIVER VALLEY FOG IS POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT, WITH IFR VIS
POSSIBLE AT KTCL PAST 01/08 BECAUSE OF THIS. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL OTHER TERMINALS FOR THE ENTIRE TAF
PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL STABILIZE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, REMAINING IN THE
UPPER 30-40% RANGE, BEFORE SLIGHTLY INCREASING INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER,
ADDITIONAL DRYING IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK, WITH MOST
VALUES DROPPING BACK INTO THE 30 AND 40% RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN
MOSTLY STABLE DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL, RANGING BETWEEN 5-10
MPH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 64 36 65 42 / 0 0 0 10
ANNISTON 63 38 65 44 / 0 0 0 10
BIRMINGHAM 63 40 65 45 / 0 0 0 10
TUSCALOOSA 66 40 66 44 / 0 0 0 10
CALERA 66 39 68 44 / 0 0 0 10
AUBURN 64 41 65 45 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 65 38 68 43 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 65 39 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: BLOUNT-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLAY-CLEBURNE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-MARION-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
WALKER-WINSTON.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page