135
FXUS64 KBMX 010522
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1222 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1211 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
- BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- FROST DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING.
A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM SATURDAY
MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ACTIVITY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
THE WEATHER STORY FOR THE NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN THIS COLDER WEATHER,
AS THE NEXT REINFORCING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE REGION
BY SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL FIRST MOVE INTO THE REGION AS A
LONGWAVE, BEFORE BECOMING CLOSED OFF OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY
WHILE CONTINUING TO DROP SE. RAIN CHANCES WILL ONLY SLIGHTLY
INCREASE IN OUR NORTH ZONES BY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH ONLY LINGERING
SHOWERS EXPECTED INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
WINDS WILL QUICKLY SWING BACK AROUND TO THE NORTH DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME, WITH THAT AFOREMENTIONED PUSH OF REINFORCING COLD AIR
ADVECTION FOLLOWING RIGHT BEHIND IT. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL GENERALLY
ONLY DROP A FEW DEGREES, BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD FALL BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER-30S BY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, A SURFACE RIDGE
WILL BEGIN BUILDING ALONG THE GULF COAST BY TUESDAY, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN REBOUNDING TO A MORE SEASONABLE FEEL BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE NEW WORKWEEK.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND VARIABLE WINDS. SOME RIVER FOG MAY DRIFT OVER THE
TERMINAL AT TCL FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME BEFORE DAYBREAK, BUT
OVERALL NO MAJOR IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
MINRH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW AND MIDDLE 30 PERCENT RANGE
ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE I-59 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON,
BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT OR VARIABLE. SLIGHTLY HIGHER
MOISTURE VALUES ARE FORECAST OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA ON
SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS BUT NO WETTING
RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN FREE
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH MILD TO WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD
TO CONSIDERABLE SURFACE DRYING AND RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE 30S
AREAWIDE BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 65 43 59 36 / 0 10 50 10
ANNISTON 66 44 61 39 / 0 10 40 20
BIRMINGHAM 65 46 59 39 / 0 10 40 10
TUSCALOOSA 67 45 61 39 / 0 10 20 10
CALERA 68 45 62 39 / 0 10 30 10
AUBURN 66 45 66 42 / 0 0 20 20
MONTGOMERY 68 44 68 39 / 0 10 20 20
TROY 68 42 68 39 / 0 0 10 20
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: BLOUNT-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLAY-CLEBURNE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-MARION-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
WALKER-WINSTON.
DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION...56/GDG
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