069
FNUS74 KBMX 171602
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCORD FIRE...ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1002 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY CONDITIONS REMAIN PRESENT AT THE WILDFIRE SITE IN TALLADEGA
COUNTY IN TERMS OF MINRH AND SURFACE FUELS. WE'LL HAVE TO WATCH WIND
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY, AS CURRENT OBSERVATIONS ARE RUNNING
HIGHER THAN FORECAST AND HAVE BEEN UPDATED AS A RESULT. 20FT WINDS
OF 5 TO 10MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDDAY, WITH PERHAPS A GUST OR TWO
TO 15MPH. THOSE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND BECOME
LIGHT BY SUNSET. RHS ARE FORECAST TO RECOVER INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S OVERNIGHT WITH CALM WINDS, FOLLOWED BY WARMER TEMPERATURES
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS 20FT WINDS AND TRANSPORT WINDS BECOME
SOUTHERLY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5 AND 10MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS
TO 15MPH THROUGH MIDDAY, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 24 26 25 9 6 8 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 62 65 66 68 67 66 62
RH..............36 25 21 18 18 19 20 27
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND DIR..040 040 030 030 030 030 030 040
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 4 4 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 12 10 8 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.0 2.8 1.0 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 6 6 6 6 7 6
DISPERSION IDX..4 21 18 20 21 20 9 3
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6
TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........12 11 10 11 12 11 9 15 12 7 8 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 53 51 50 49 48 48 46 46 46 45 46
RH..............37 41 44 42 56 58 58 60 60 58 58 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E E SE
20 FT WIND DIR..060 070 080 090 090 090 100 100 100 100 110 120
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E E E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 70 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 15.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 9 8 12 9 9 15 15 15 19 26 34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 47 54 62 67 71 75 75 76 77 75 72
RH..............58 58 50 41 40 36 38 40 42 45 45 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND DIR..130 150 160 180 190 190 200 200 200 200 190 190
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 10 11 12 13 14 13 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.7 1.3 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 13 13 13 15 16 16 16 12 10
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 5 6 6 40 56 67 70 72 19 10
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...GGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...ETHAN BARRETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526125.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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