681
FNUS74 KBMX 171852
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DAY FARM...AFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1252 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE BURN SITE. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 20-25%. THERE IS A 30-40%
CHANCE OF RHS FALLING BELOW 20% THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
OF A BRIEF GUST FROM 10-15 MPH. MOISTURE BEGINS TO RECOVER THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH RHS BACK AROUND 50% BY MIDNIGHT. WE
WILL SEE A STEADY INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON TUESDAY WITH AFTERNOON
RHS STAYING AROUND 50%. SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS STRENGTHEN
TOMORROW WITH GUSTS FROM 15-20 MPH LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 12 8 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 69 69 67 62
RH..............19 19 20 22 27
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E
20 FT WIND DIR..100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 2.5 0.9 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..18 19 18 8 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 11 9 14 10 8 9 14 19 16 16 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 53 51 49 50 49 49 48 48 48 47 49
RH..............32 43 46 54 54 54 52 54 51 51 56 52
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..100 100 100 110 110 120 120 120 120 120 130 130
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 24 DECREASING TO 9 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 17 19 28 29 36 37 36 38 36 32 29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 49 56 62 67 70 74 75 76 77 75 72
RH..............54 63 62 60 54 53 57 58 58 58 64 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S SW S S
20 FT WIND DIR..140 150 160 180 190 190 200 200 200 210 200 200
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.7 1.4 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 14 15 16 16 20 20 16 14 10
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 6 6 10 41 49 63 64 48 24 9
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 3 3 3
FORECASTER...CASTILLO
REQUESTED BY...JASON BERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526160.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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