732  
FNUS74 KBMX 181804  
FWSBMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCORD FIRE...ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
1204 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AS DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH  
OF THE AREA. RH MINIMUMS WILL DROP TO AROUND 28 PERCENT IN THE  
AREA OF INTEREST IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SURFACE WINDS WILL  
BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH WHILE TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL RANGE BETWEEN 10-15 MPH. NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THIS AREA  
REMAINS DAYS AWAY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........27 29 33 37 43 50 54 57 62 65 71 77  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............65 64 63 63 62 63 62 63 62 61 61 59  
RH..............60 63 67 70 75 75 81 84 90 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND DIR..180 180 180 190 190 200 210 210 220 220 220 210  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 12 10 10 12 12 12 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 8 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 79 75 76 72 64 59 53 49 48 49 56  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 62 63 67 71 74 77 78 79 80 78 74  
RH..............100 97 100 93 84 79 67 64 60 58 62 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND DIR..210 220 220 230 240 250 250 260 260 270 280 270  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.0 2.8 1.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 14 13 13 12 13 13 14 13 9 7  
DISPERSION IDX..7 7 9 8 8 22 27 30 52 44 21 3  
LVORI...........8 8 8 4 4 4 1 1 1 3 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....1.  
LVORI...............9.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........60 54 57 60 63 65 67 67 67 67 66 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 68 66 66 65 64 62 62 61 61 60 60  
RH..............79 90 97 93 93 97 100 97 97 97 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND DIR..260 300 270 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 210 180  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW W W W W W W W NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5  
DISPERSION IDX..0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 8 8 8  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOLMES  
REQUESTED BY...ETHAN BARRETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2526125.1/BMX  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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