736  
FNUS74 KBMX 140808  
FWSBMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAVE MOUNTAIN...USDA-FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
208 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CST ON DECEMBER 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN TODAY WITH RH VALUES DROPPING  
TO AROUND 30 PERCENT AT THE CAVE MOUNTAIN WILDFIRE. IT WILL ALSO  
BE BREEZY WITH NORTHERLY 20FT WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALSO BE OUT OF THE NORTH  
AROUND 25 MPH. RH RECOVERY WILL BE LIMITED OVERNIGHT BUT  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY COLD. NORTHERLY 20FT WINDS WILL  
GRADUALLY DECREASE WHILE TRANSPORT WINDS REMAIN UP AROUND 15 TO 20  
MPH. RH VALUES DROP TO OR BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS MONDAY  
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER, SHIFTING FROM  
NORTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....32 INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 79 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 68 DECREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........23 10 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 33 34 35 38 36 37 37 34 31  
RH..............82 72 64 54 40 38 32 31 33 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 12 10 12 12 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 23 23 23 22 22 22 20 19 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.8 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 24 24 23 23 22 22 18  
DISPERSION IDX..32 32 32 54 79 55 56 69 67 38  
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....24 INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE EVENING  
INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING  
TO 6.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 7 8 7 6 5 5 6 6 5 6 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 26 24 24 23 22 21 21 21 20 19 19  
RH..............40 44 45 45 47 49 49 49 52 54 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 010 010 020 020 020 020 020 020 030 040 040  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 16 14 14 12 12 11 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 20 20 18 17 16 16 15 13 12 9  
DISPERSION IDX..24 38 21 37 33 36 7 7 7 6 5 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............19 20 23 27 32 36 41 42 44 45 42 40  
RH..............59 54 50 44 36 30 25 25 24 25 30 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND DIR..040 040 060 070 090 120 140 150 160 170 180 190  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.5 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 4 4 3 17 16 13 13 10 7 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...JDAVIS  
REQUESTED BY...AICC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2527562.2/BMX  
.DELDT 12/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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