050  
FNUS74 KBMX 150823  
FWSBMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAVE MOUNTAIN...USDA-FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
223 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CST ON DECEMBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS  
THIS AFTERNOON AT THE CAVE MOUNTAIN WILDFIRE. 20FT WINDS WILL BE  
LIGHT, SHIFTING FROM EASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
BE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. CALM WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. RH VALUES DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 20FT WINDS REMAIN LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO  
SOUTHEASTERLY. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AROUND 8  
MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO  
6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 11 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............22 27 31 36 40 42 44 45 43 40  
RH..............47 40 34 29 26 24 23 25 30 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND DIR..040 070 100 130 150 150 170 160 160 180  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 5 4 4 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 1.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..4 3 3 15 13 10 10 10 6 1  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........7 7 7 7 6 5 4 5 6 4 5 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 31 30 29 28 27 26 26 25 24 24 22  
RH..............44 56 60 63 66 65 68 68 71 74 71 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 080 080 100  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 4 2 3 4 5 8 11 14 25 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............24 24 30 35 39 44 48 49 51 52 49 45  
RH..............68 71 58 47 42 36 33 33 32 32 37 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND DIR..120 110 130 150 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 160  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 3 3 15 18 17 19 18 13 7  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...JDAVIS  
REQUESTED BY...AICC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2527562.3/BMX  
.DELDT 12/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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