821
FNUS74 KBMX 130734
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAYNE CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
134 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON JANUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AT THE FAYNE CREEK BURN SITE. MINRH IS
FORECAST TO BE RIGHT AT 30%, BUT MIXING HAS OVERACHIEVED THE LAST COUPLE
OF DAYS, SO THERE'S A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) CHANCE THAT IT DROPS TO 25% OR BELOW.
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY AND EVENING.
MOISTURE RETURNS WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........6 2 2 3 4 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 36 46 51 53 52
RH..............72 56 40 33 31 35
20 FT WIND......W 1 W 1 W 2 W 5 SW 5 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 6 8 10 10
20 FT WIND DIR..280 250 270 260 240 230
MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 1100 1800 1900 1100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 5 W 7 W 8 W 9 SW 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 18 23 10
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........12 19 30 42 49 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 40 40 40 40 40
RH..............51 62 67 64 64 67
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 10 11 12
20 FT WIND DIR..210 220 210 220 230 230
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 SW 13
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 5 8 8 8
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........68 79 74 79 84 88
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 30 30 30
TEMP............41 43 48 51 51 49
RH..............67 70 65 63 66 71
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND DIR..230 240 250 260 280 280
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 2100 3200 3200 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 16 W 20 W 16 W 16 W 15
DISPERSION IDX..8 14 26 40 40 33
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 3
FORECASTER...OWEN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528910.0/BMX
.DELDT 01/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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