026  
FNUS74 KBMX 132228  
FWSBMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAYNE CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
428 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CST ON JANUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING.  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY HOVERING AROUND 25% ACROSS  
THE BURN SITE. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY RECOVER TONIGHT WITH RH VALUES  
NEARING 75% DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MOISTURE REMAINS ELEVATED  
ON WEDNESDAY WITH MINRH VALUES ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 63%. WINDS  
WILL REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT, INCREASING OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH  
THE DAY TOMORROW WITH GUSTS FROM 15-20 MPH AT TIMES. OTHERWISE,  
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO AROUND  
30-40% AS OUR NEXT FRONT MOVES THROUGH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE  
MINIMAL, GENERALLY .10" OR LESS.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 5 PM  
SKY (%).........1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............50  
RH..............42  
20 FT WIND......SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10  
20 FT WIND DIR..220  
MIX HGT (FT)....300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........11 10 44 62 84 88  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 40 40 40 40 39  
RH..............53 62 64 64 64 67  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 11 12 13  
20 FT WIND DIR..210 210 220 220 230 230  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 W 13  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 90 85 94 98  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 30 30 30  
TEMP............41 44 48 51 52 50  
RH..............70 70 68 63 63 66  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 16 16 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..230 230 250 260 270 290  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 1700 2600 2800 2100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 13 W 16 W 17 W 16 W 16  
 

 
FORECASTER...CASTILLO  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LARSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600078.0/BMX  
.DELDT 01/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AL Page Main Text Page