130
FNUS74 KBMX 141227
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOOTING RANGE RX 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
627 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAINY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AT THE SECOND BURN SITE. TWO
ROUNDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FIRST MOVING IN DURING THE
MORNING AND THE SECOND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE RAIN THIS MORNING
WILL MOST LIKELY BE SPRINKLES ONLY AT BEST. BETTER CHANCES THIS
AFTERNOON. GENERALLY WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT
NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY AS WE APPROACH MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY
WITH MINRHS DROPPING INTO THE MID 20% RANGE. GIVEN THE SHARP CHANGE
IN AIR MASS, MIN RHS COULD DROP NEARER TO 25% BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........92 83 88 91 94 97
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 20 20 50 60 60
TEMP............41 45 49 50 49 47
RH..............79 82 77 77 80 86
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 16 14 14
20 FT WIND DIR..220 220 230 250 260 290
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1000 2000 2600 2400 1400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 14 SW 15 W 17 W 17 W 16
DISPERSION IDX..8 9 29 38 36 26
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 46 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
INCREASING TO 59 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO 33 OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 15.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........95 92 76 56 49 40
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 20 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 40 37 32 29 26
RH..............93 92 82 82 72 68
20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 8 N 9 N 9 N 9 N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 17 19 20 20 20
20 FT WIND DIR..300 340 340 340 340 340
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2000 3300 2300 2800 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 N 23 N 25 N 23 N 24 N 22
DISPERSION IDX..29 44 63 31 32 15
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
19 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 81 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 90 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 117 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 74 DECREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........33 20 6 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............24 25 30 35 37 35
RH..............65 62 46 35 29 32
20 FT WIND......N 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.19 18 18 16 16 13
20 FT WIND DIR..340 330 320 310 310 310
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2600 3200 4100 4400 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 N 21 NW 21 NW 22 NW 23 NW 18
DISPERSION IDX..15 14 14 83 90 74
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600119.0/BMX
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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