821
FNUS74 KBMX 100729
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST END C & D...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
129 AM CST TUE FEB 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AHEAD OF
OUR NEXT COLD FRONT. THIS WILL KEEP MIN RHS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND
45%. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TODAY FROM 5-10 MPH
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN LIKELY BY 3 AM. RAIN WILL REMAIN
LIKELY ACROSS THE SITE DURING THE MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY BEFORE
CHANCES GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES ON
WEDNESDAY HOVER AROUND 55-60%. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 21
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 67 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 80 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 90 DECREASING TO 72 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 19.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 79 76 84 69 69 68 64 57 56 55 62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 50 53 60 64 68 70 72 73 73 71 68
RH..............100 100 96 81 73 63 59 53 48 46 49 55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..230 230 230 240 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 12 13 14 16 16 16 16 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.0 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 13 16 16 18 20 20 21 20 14
DISPERSION IDX..4 7 7 8 11 49 67 79 80 90 72 19
LVORI...........8 8 8 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN
DECREASING TO 10 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........69 73 71 75 85 90 91 94 95 94 95 95
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 50 50 50 70 70 70
TEMP............65 61 61 60 60 59 59 59 59 58 57 57
RH..............60 70 70 72 72 78 78 78 80 83 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW W W
20 FT WIND DIR..220 230 230 230 230 240 250 250 240 240 250 270
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 16 14 15 14 14 15 15 15 14
DISPERSION IDX..15 18 20 25 21 21 9 9 10 10 10 9
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN
THE MORNING.
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO
14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 22.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 94 93 91 86 81 76 67 59 51 40 29
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............56 55 56 58 59 59 60 61 63 63 61 59
RH..............96 100 100 96 93 90 84 75 62 58 60 60
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND DIR..270 290 290 280 290 320 330 330 330 330 330 330
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 11 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.4 2.7 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 15 17 16 14 12 12 13 14 13 10
DISPERSION IDX..10 9 10 12 11 21 18 23 30 35 43 22
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...CASTILLO
REQUESTED BY...TROY MCFARLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602267.0/BMX
.DELDT 02/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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