756
FNUS74 KBMX 022251
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
551 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PREVAILING LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE, WITH RECOVERY TO 100 PERCENT OVERNIGHT, AND MINIMUM
RH VALUES AROUND 60-65 PERCENT DURING THE DAY. RAIN CHANCES COME
INTO THE FORECAST STARTING SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AND REALLY START TO
RAMP UP SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........54 55 51 36 43 52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............85 76 74 72 71 71
RH..............59 87 93 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 N 0 N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 4
20 FT WIND DIR..130 120 150 150 000 000
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 400 400 500 500 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 S 3
DISPERSION IDX..12 0 0 3 3 2
LVORI...........2 6 9 9 9 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........60 70 58 71 76 74
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 40
TEMP............70 72 78 85 86 84
RH..............100 100 87 67 65 67
20 FT WIND......N 0 E 1 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND DIR..000 100 120 120 120 120
MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 2000 3500 4200 2400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 E 6
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 20 22 16
LVORI...........10 9 4 4 3 3
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........84 90 88 84 88 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............40 40 40 40 60 60
TEMP............80 73 72 72 71 71
RH..............78 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 SE 1 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND DIR..110 090 100 110 120 120
MIX HGT (FT)....600 400 400 400 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 E 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 6 SE 5
DISPERSION IDX..2 0 0 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 9 10 10 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........87 82 73 80 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 90
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............60 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............71 71 70 71 73 75 76 76 76 76 75 73
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 97 97 97 94 94 97
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND DIR..110 110 100 100 100 090 080 070 060 050 040 040
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 8 8 7 7 6 7 8 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 4 4 16 14 12 14 16 18 15
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5
FORECASTER...WESTLAND
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.9/BMX
.DELDT 10/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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