629
FNUS74 KBMX 030429
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1129 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 CDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PREVAILING LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE, WITH RECOVERY TO 100 PERCENT OVERNIGHT, AND MINIMUM
RH VALUES AROUND 60-65 PERCENT DURING THE DAY. RAIN CHANCES COME INTO
THE FORECAST STARTING TOWARD MIDDAY SATURDAY, AND REALLY START TO RAMP
UP SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............10.
TIME (CDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 37 34 50 59 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............72 72 71 71 71 70
RH..............97 97 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE N N N N
20 FT WIND DIR..150 140 000 000 000 000
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 5 3 3
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 10 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 77 73 70 66 69 69 72 70 69 66 72
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............70 70 71 74 79 83 86 86 87 86 85 83
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 70 63 63 61 63 63 67
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..000 100 100 110 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.2 3.4 2.4 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 3 3 18 20 26 22 20 16 13
LVORI...........10 9 9 9 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........85 91 91 93 92 89 85 86 86 90 91 91
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 70 70
TEMP............81 77 74 73 73 72 72 72 71 71 70 70
RH..............76 82 93 97 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..110 100 090 100 100 100 110 120 120 120 120 120
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 6 7 7 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 91 87 88 88 88 88 88 92 91 89 92
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70 90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100
TEMP............70 69 70 71 73 74 75 75 76 75 75 74
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 97 94 94 94 92 93
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND DIR..110 110 100 100 100 090 080 070 060 050 040 040
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 8 8 7 7 6 7 8 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 4 4 16 14 12 14 16 18 15
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.10/BMX
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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