865
FNUS74 KBMX 031101
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
601 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PREVAILING LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE, WITH RECOVERY TO 100 PERCENT OVERNIGHT, AND MINIMUM
RH VALUES AROUND 60-65 PERCENT DURING THE DAY. RAIN CHANCES COME INTO
THE FORECAST STARTING TOWARD MIDDAY TODAY, AND REALLY START TO RAMP
UP TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 88 89 86 87 87 86 74 82 85 85 87
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40
TEMP............70 70 71 74 79 83 86 86 87 86 85 83
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 70 63 63 61 63 63 67
20 FT WIND DIR..N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..000 110 120 130 140 140 140 140 140 130 130 130
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.9 3.6 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 3 3 18 20 21 25 21 25 20
LVORI...........10 9 9 9 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........86 92 92 94 96 95 94 93 93 97 96 94
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 70 70
TEMP............81 77 74 73 73 72 72 72 71 71 70 70
RH..............76 82 93 97 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..130 110 110 130 140 140 130 130 140 140 130 140
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE SE S SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..10 0 0 0 8 1 3 3 3 3 2 2
LVORI...........3 7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 13 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........93 92 91 91 92 93 94 96 97 99 99 100
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70 90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100
TEMP............70 69 70 71 73 74 75 75 76 75 75 74
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 97 94 94 94 92 93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E SE SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND DIR..120 110 110 110 120 130 130 130 120 100 100 090
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 3 3 4 11 15 15 13 12 12 11
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 8 8 8 5 5 5 6 6
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.11/BMX
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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