479
FNUS74 KBMX 031636
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1136 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PREVAILING LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE, WITH RECOVERY TO 100 PERCENT OVERNIGHT, AND MINIMUM
RH VALUES AROUND 60-65 PERCENT DURING THE DAY. RAIN CHANCES COME INTO
THE FORECAST STARTING TOWARD MIDDAY TODAY, AND REALLY START TO RAMP
UP TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........67 79 73
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............10 20 30
TEMP............84 87 86
RH..............65 61 61
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6
20 FT WIND DIR..140 140 130
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 4000 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SE 7 SE 6
DISPERSION IDX..15 26 21
LVORI...........3 2 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........78 88 89 83 83 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............30 30 20 20 40 60
TEMP............82 75 74 73 72 72
RH..............72 92 99 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..130 120 130 140 140 140
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 400 400 400 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 S 6 S 6 SE 5
DISPERSION IDX..8 0 0 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 7 10 10 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 11 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........90 98 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............60 80 90 90 90 90
TEMP............71 70 73 76 76 76
RH..............100 100 100 96 99 90
20 FT WIND......SE 1 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..120 110 120 120 120 100
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1100 1500 1400 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 E 7 E 7 E 7 SE 7 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 6 12 11 12
LVORI...........9 9 8 8 7 6
FORECASTER...JLAWS
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.12/BMX
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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