518
FNUS74 KBMX 032213
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
513 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AT OAK MOUNTAIN STATE PARK AND VICINITY, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A HIGH CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. IF OAK
MOUNTAIN STATE PARK BECOMES INVOLVED WITHIN AN AREA OF STEADY
RAINFALL ON SUNDAY, RAIN AMOUNTS COULD REACH BETWEEN ONE TO TWO
INCHES. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A FRONT, WINDS WILL LIKELY
FLUCTUATE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST, GENERALLY AROUND 5 MPH.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........78 88 89 83 83 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............30 30 20 20 40 60
TEMP............82 75 74 73 72 72
RH..............72 92 99 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 SE 1 SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..130 120 130 140 140 140
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 400 400 400 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 S 6 S 6 SE 5
DISPERSION IDX..8 0 0 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 7 10 10 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 11 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........90 98 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............60 80 90 90 90 90
TEMP............71 70 73 76 76 76
RH..............100 100 100 96 99 90
20 FT WIND......SE 1 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..120 110 120 120 120 100
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1100 1500 1400 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 E 7 E 7 E 7 SE 7 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 6 12 11 12
LVORI...........9 9 8 8 7 6
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............8.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........100 91 84 79 83 82
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............90 60 60 60 20 20
TEMP............74 71 71 70 70 69
RH..............97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......NE 2 E 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 10
20 FT WIND DIR..060 070 040 040 040 030
MIX HGT (FT)....800 400 800 800 500 900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 6 NE 6 NE 7 NE 7 NE 8
DISPERSION IDX..9 0 5 3 3 5
LVORI...........6 10 9 9 9 9
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81 79 63 60 58 52 46 41 36 32 31 31
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 67 69 71 74 77 80 81 82 81 80 77
RH..............100 100 100 97 87 79 69 65 61 63 62 69
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND DIR..030 030 040 040 040 040 040 040 040 030 030 030
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 10 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 10
DISPERSION IDX..5 7 12 13 17 29 43 42 42 42 42 31
LVORI...........9 7 7 7 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 3
FORECASTER...SATTERWHITE
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.13/BMX
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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