248  
FXUS65 KBOI 150908  
AFDBOI  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID  
208 AM MST WED JAN 15 2025  
   
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT  
AN UPPER RIDGE  
WILL CONTINUE DRY STABLE CONDITIONS, LIGHT WINDS, AND NEAR-  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. PATCHY OVERNIGHT AND MORNING VALLEY FOG  
EXPECTED WITH A BUILDING INVERSION. THE RIDGE WEAKENS AND  
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS IN ON THURSDAY, ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO  
MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION, THE  
FRONT WILL ONLY BRING A 10-30% CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE FAR NE  
CORNER OF OUR AREA, NEAR THE BOISE AND WEST CENTRAL MTNS. WINDS  
ON FRIDAY WILL BE BREEZY AS WELL. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT  
WILL BE THE MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THE NEW AIRMASS HEADING  
INTO THE LONG TERM.  
   
LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
IN THE NEW COLDER  
AIRMASS, TEMPERATURES DROP TO 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON  
SATURDAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR ARRIVES SUNDAY/MONDAY,  
DROPPING TEMPS FURTHER TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BY THE END  
OF MONDAY. IN THE TREASURE VALLEY, THIS MEANS HIGHS NEAR TO  
JUST BELOW FREEZING AND LOWS IN THE MID-TEENS. ON TUESDAY,  
ANOTHER HIGH BEGINS BUILDING IN THE WEST, KICKING OFF A SLIGHT  
WARMING TREND.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
VFR UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. LOCAL IFR IN MTN-  
VALLEY FOG. SURFACE WINDS: VARIABLE SE 5-15 KT. WINDS ALOFT AT  
10KFT MSL: N-NW 10-15 KT.  
 
KBOI...VFR. LIGHT SE WINDS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.  
 
 
   
AIR STAGNATION  
AN AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT  
FOR THE SE OREGON AND SW IDAHO VALLEYS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 2000 FEET AGL OR LOWER ALONG WITH LIGHT  
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL CONTINUE THE STAGNANT CONDITIONS. A  
COLD FRONT WILL IMPROVE MIXING ON FRIDAY.  
 
 
   
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
ID...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST FRIDAY  
IDZ011>016-028>030-033.  
OR...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ FRIDAY  
ORZ061>064.  
 
 
 
 
 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE  
 
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:  
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE  
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSBOISE  
 
SHORT TERM...JM  
LONG TERM....JM  
AVIATION.....JM  
AIR STAGNATION...JM  
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