953
FXUS65 KBOI 151626
AFDBOI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
926 AM MST SAT NOV 15 2025
DISCUSSION
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD TODAY WILL BRING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO SOUTHERN AREAS, BUT CLOUDS WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE NORTH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
ONCE AGAIN, WITH LOWER ELEVATIONS REACHING THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S, WHICH IS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID NOVEMBER.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIGHT TODAY, MAKING FOR AN OVERALL PLEASANT
LATE FALL DAY. A SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO BRING RAIN TO OUR
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. NO UPDATES TO THE FORECAST THIS
MORNING.
AVIATION
MAINLY VFR TODAY. LOWERING CEILINGS AND BRIEF
MVFR/IFR VISIBILITY IN RAIN SHOWERS MOVING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
OVERNIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION IN PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS 9K
TO 10K FT MSL. SURFACE WINDS: VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. WINDS
ALOFT AT 10KFT MSL: W-NW 20-35 KT SHIFTING S-SE 15-30KT BY
06Z/SUN.
KBOI...VFR. E-SE 5-10KT THIS MORNING, BECOMING NW 5-10KT DURING
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS SUN MORNING.
SUNDAY OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. VFR/MVFR IN VALLEYS,
AND MVFR TO LIFR IN MOUNTAINS IN PRECIP AND LOW CLOUDS WITH
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. SNOW LEVELS 9K-10K FT MSL, LOWERING TO
7K-8K FT MSL SUNDAY PM. SURFACE WINDS: SW-SE 10-20 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 20-30 KT SUN AFTERNOON.
PREV DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...A CUTOFF LOW REMAINS
NEAR SOUTHERN CA, WITH AN EXTENSIVE CLOUD SHIELD OVER OR AND
SOUTHERN ID. THIS CLOUD SHIELD HAS LIMITED RADIATIONAL COOLING
AND PATCHY FOG. EXPECT DECREASING CLOUDS LATER THIS MORNING WITH
SUNNY BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD
WITH HIGHS AROUND 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES IN THE SNAKE PLAIN WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S
TODAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN
CA WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON SUNDAY. A WARM
FRONT WITH THE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT
SOME PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND THE WARM FRONT, WITH ANOTHER MILD
DAY ON SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS HOVER AROUND 9000-10000' WITH THE
WARM FRONT. ON SUNDAY EVENING THE CENTER OF THE TROUGH WILL MOVE
OVER SOUTHERN ID, WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE BRINGING
PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN OR AND SOUTHWEST ID EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. SNOW LEVELS BEGIN TO FALL TO AROUND 6500-7500' ON
MONDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM EXITS. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL
BE AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN SUNDAY, BUT STILL AROUND 5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW IN THE LONG TERM. BUT STILL FAVORS SEASONABLE AND
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NW. THE LATEST PROJECTIONS BRING ANOTHER SYSTEM DOWN
THE WEST COAST INTO ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW OFF THE CA COAST BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A BRIEF BREAK
ON WEDNESDAY BETWEEN SYSTEMS, AND THEN ANOTHER CUT OFF LOW
DIVES SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE
WWW.X.COM/NWSBOISE
DISCUSSION...ST
AVIATION.....SA
SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....KA
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