037
FXUS65 KBOI 161101
AFDBOI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
401 AM MST SUN NOV 16 2025
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
A CUTOFF LOW
REMAINS NEAR SOUTHERN CA/NV AND IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
THIS MORNING. A WARM FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD IN
THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT SOME PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND THE WARM
FRONT, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST IDAHO, WITH ANOTHER MILD DAY
ON SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS HOVER AROUND 9000-10000' WITH THE WARM
FRONT. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL BRING RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL OR. ON SUNDAY EVENING THE CENTER OF THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN ID, WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN OR AND SOUTHWEST ID EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. SNOW LEVELS BEGIN TO FALL TO AROUND 6500-7500'
ON MONDAY MORNING. SHOWERS CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE DAY ON
MONDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN SUNDAY, BUT STILL
AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH ALONG
THE WEST COAST INTO ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW BY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL WEAK RIDGING TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY FOR DRIER CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW IN THE LONG TERM. BUT STILL FAVORS SEASONABLE AND
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NW. PRECIPITATION CHANCES RANGE FROM 20-40 PERCENT IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
AVIATION
GENERALLY VFR THIS MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON IN SOUTHWEST ID.
MOUNTAINS BECOMING OBSCURED. MVFR TO IFR IN EASTERN OR TODAY,
SPREADING OVER ID BY THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS: SW-SE 10-20
KT. WINDS ALOFT AT 10KFT MSL: S-SW 15-25KT.
KBOI...VFR. INTERMITTENT RAIN SHOWERS. BRIEF BREAK IN
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON. LOWERING CEILINGS WITH MVFR RAIN
MONDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS SE 5-15KT.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE
WWW.X.COM/NWSBOISE
SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....KA
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