293
FXUS65 KBOI 161636
AFDBOI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
936 AM MST SUN NOV 16 2025
DISCUSSION
BRIEF CLEARING IS OBSERVED AS OF 9:30AM MST OVER
THE BOISE-CALDWELL WHICH WILL HELP ELEVATE HIGH TEMPERATURES,
WITH RAIN OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST OREGON AND SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO
THIS MORNING. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO FILL IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS. STEADY RAIN AND HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS
AROUND 0.50-0.75 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER HARNEY-BAKER COUNTY
WITH HIT OR MISS SHOWERS OVER THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND CENTRAL
ID MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH,
GENERALLY ABOVE 8000 FEET TODAY, DROPPING TO 7000-8000 FEET
OVERNIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST LOCATIONS, PROGRESSIVELY COOLING
DOWN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. NO UPDATES NEEDED.
AVIATION
WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST OR THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ID. SHOWERS INCREASING
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ID TONIGHT. MOUNTAINS BECOMING OBSCURED. MAINLY VFR
ACROSS ID THIS AFTERNOON WITH MVFR TO LOCAL IFR IN EASTERN OR,
SPREADING OVER ID TONIGHT. SNOW LEVEL 8-10KFT MSL THIS AFTERNOON,
DECREASING TO 7-8KFT MSL TONIGHT. SURFACE WINDS: SW-SE 5-15 KT,
GUSTS 20-30 KT NEAR THE NV BORDER. WINDS ALOFT AT 10KFT MSL: S-SW 15-
25 KT.
KBOI...VFR THROUGH THE EVENING. INTERMITTENT RAIN SHOWERS. BRIEF
BREAK IN PRECIPITATION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LOWERING CEILINGS WITH
MVFR IN RAIN MONDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS SE 5-10 KT, WITH GUSTS UP
TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
PREV DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A CUTOFF LOW
REMAINS NEAR SOUTHERN CA/NV AND IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
THIS MORNING. A WARM FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD IN
THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT SOME PARTIAL CLEARING BEHIND THE WARM
FRONT, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST IDAHO, WITH ANOTHER MILD DAY
ON SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS HOVER AROUND 9000-10000' WITH THE WARM
FRONT. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL BRING RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL OR. ON SUNDAY EVENING THE CENTER OF THE
TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN ID, WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN OR AND SOUTHWEST ID EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. SNOW LEVELS BEGIN TO FALL TO AROUND 6500-7500'
ON MONDAY MORNING. SHOWERS CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE DAY ON
MONDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
ON MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN SUNDAY, BUT STILL
AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH ALONG
THE WEST COAST INTO ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW BY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL WEAK RIDGING TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY FOR DRIER CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW IN THE LONG TERM. BUT STILL FAVORS SEASONABLE AND
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NW. PRECIPITATION CHANCES RANGE FROM 20-40 PERCENT IN
THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE
WWW.X.COM/NWSBOISE
DISCUSSION...SA
AVIATION.....ST
SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....KA
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