750
FNUS75 KBOU 162255
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOG TRAIL FIRE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
355 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE TWO WEATHER STATIONS VERY CLOSE
TO THE SPOT LOCATION. WINDS ARE GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10MPH, BUT A FEW GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET. CURRENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR
18% AND SHOULD NOT CHANGE DRASTICALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS
EVENING.
WINDS MAY GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT. WIND DIRECTION SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY
STEADY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, AND A FEW GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ARE ALSO FORECAST
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND
15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700, THEN POOR.
TIME (MST) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48 66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0
TEMP............56 54
RH..............17 18
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.22 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.6 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..140 28
SMOKEDISPERSION.VG P
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900, THEN
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
AFTER 0500.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL
UNTIL 2400, THEN 1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0100, THEN
BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0200, THEN 1100 FT AGL
UNTIL 0300, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400,
THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN 23 TO
32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51 31 12 5 7 16 16 16 16 17 21 59
WEATHER COV..... CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 45 43 41 41 41 40 40 39 37 36 35
RH..............20 26 27 31 33 36 37 37 40 44 45 49
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 10 12 12 13 14 13 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 15 16 16 22 21 24 24 22 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 18 23 26 30 31 32 31 30 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 8 6 8 15 19 36 25 30 17 27 24
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P
FORECASTER...HIRIS
REQUESTED BY...ELK CREEK FIRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2602848.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DARIAN.HORNADAY@JEFFCOM911CO.GOV
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