911
FNUS75 KBOU 171911
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR GULCH FIRE...JEFFCOM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1211 PM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE FIRE HAVE TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW-TO-MID 40S WITH RH VALUES RANGING BETWEEN LOW 30% CLOSER
TO EVERGREEN AND LOW 20% NEAR MORRISON. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
GUSTING FROM THE WEST AT 30-40 MPH.
EXPECT WESTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING, WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AT TIMES, PEAKING IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. BY 7/8
PM THIS EVENING, WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN TO 15-20 MPH AND
TRANSITION TO SOUTHWEST. BRIEF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE NOW
THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER, EXPECT LITTLE, IF ANY, ACCUMULATION
AND BRIEFLY GUSTIER WINDS (UP TO 50 MPH) ASSOCIATED WITH THEM.
MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT WILL BE UP TO 50%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 19 TO 27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 39
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 39 TO 49 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND 35
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
TIME (MST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 57 56 56 56 51
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 45 45 44 43 41
RH..............21 21 24 23 23 24
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..24 24 23 23 22 21
20 FT WIND GUST.39 38 35 35 35 33
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 11 10 8.6 8.2 6.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.44 47 45 44 41 35
VRATE KT-FT/1K..408 438 391 327 296 198
SMOKEDISPERSION.E E E E E E
FORECASTER...IDEKER
REQUESTED BY...DARIAN HORNADAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2602939.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PAUL.WAGNER@JEFFCOM911CO.GOV,TYLER.JOHNSON@JEFFCOM911CO.GOV,DARIAN.HORNADAY@JEFFCOM911CO.GOV
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