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FXUS65 KBOU 032357
AFDBOU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
557 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE WEEK AHEAD. RECORD/NEAR RECORD WARMTH MONDAY.
- A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES
ACROSS.
DISCUSSION /THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1216 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE HAS SETTLED OVER THE AREA AND SHOULD STICK
AROUND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, KEEPING THINGS WARM AND DRY FOR
THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON, BRINGING A FEW HOURS OF DRIER AIR
(RH<20%) AND BREEZY CONDITIONS (15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 KTS)
TO THE EASTERN PLAINS. AS SUCH, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE PLAINS. HIGHS TODAY
WILL BE IN THE MID 60S-70S FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND IN THE LOW 80S
FOR THE PLAINS AND URBAN CORRIDOR. TOMORROW WILL BE THE COOLEST
DAY OF THE WEEK BEHIND TODAY'S COLD FRONT, WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO
BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY.
TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK UP INTO THE MID-80S ON MONDAY, REACHING NEAR-
RECORD VALUES FOR DENVER, AND THEN DROP BY A FEW DEGREES AGAIN ON
TUESDAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS STILL EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE STATE
ON TUESDAY, SO WE'VE KEPT POPS AT 20-30% FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR
MOST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION CONCENTRATED OVER PARK AND CLEAR CREEK COUNTIES. AFTER
THE SHORTWAVE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA, THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD
SETTLE BACK IN, KEEPING WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, AND FRIDAY WARM AND DRY
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S/70S FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND LOW 80S FOR THE
PLAINS.
AS OF THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS, THE RIDGE PATTERN SHOULD HOLD
THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE MOVING EASTWARD SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THAT BEING SAID, THERE'S STILL A GOOD AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY
WITH THIS, AS SOME MODELS HAVE THE RIDGE STARTING TO MOVE EARLIER,
WHILE SOME HAVE IT STICKING AROUND A LITTLE LATER INTO SUNDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 541 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF PACKAGE. BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, BEFORE
STARTING TO WEAKEN AND TURNING MORE E/NE. WINDS AT KAPA AND KBJC
WILL GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING, BECOMING
S/SE FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WINDS AT KDEN WILL GRADUALLY VEER
SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING, BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT, WITH
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE MID MORNING. TOMORROW AFTERNOON,
WINDS COULD BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE SETTLING
BACK AS SOUTHEASTERLY AGAIN AT KAPA AND KDEN.
BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AGS
AVIATION...AP
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