173  
FNUS75 KBOU 151012  
FWSBOU  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRIS PARK RX - UNIT O...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO  
412 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE'S A CHANCE (40%) FOR LIGHT SNOW LATER THIS MORNING, BUT VERY LITTLE  
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. AFTER THE SHOWERS MOVE SOUTH  
OUT OF THE AREA IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON, CLOUD COVER  
WILL START TO CLEAR. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE EARLY  
AFTERNOON, WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 TO 15MPH AND GUSTS NEAR 20 TO  
25MPH. THE BREEZY WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW HOURS OF GOOD SMOKE  
DISPERSAL LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL  
WEAKEN AROUND SUNSET. TOMORROW, EXPECT WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.  
RHS WILL DROP CLOSE TO 25% IN THE AFTERNOON AND PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ON FRIDAY, WITH  
SPEEDS GENERALLY AROUND 5MPH AND GUSTS BELOW 15MPH. THE LIGHT WINDS  
AND POOR MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LEAVE POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR FRIDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1500.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0700, THEN NORTH 6  
TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH UNTIL  
1200, THEN 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 18 TO 25  
MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN 11 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN  
GOOD UNTIL 1400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN  
POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 72 65 65 68 48 55 40 32 21 19 17  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 30 29 32 35 37 38 39 39 39 39 38  
RH..............85 88 92 89 78 72 73 64 64 64 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 8 10 13 14 14 14 13 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 13 16 21 22 22 22 21 16 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 2.8 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 16 20 25 25 24 22 18 14 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 10 24 41 62 69 67 60 52 33 25  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P F G G G F F P P  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN  
NORTHWEST UNTIL 0100, THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH  
UNTIL 0500, THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0300, THEN 1500 FT AGL  
UNTIL 0400, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1900, THEN 8 TO 10 MPH  
UNTIL 2100, THEN 8 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN  
LIGHT UNTIL 2400, THEN NORTH 8 TO 11 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........14 12 9 10 12 6 1 3 3 5 5 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 33 28 27 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 20  
RH..............64 63 68 65 65 62 59 57 56 54 54 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 6 6 5 5 3 2 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 9 9 9 7 7 6 3 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 7 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 6 12 4 4  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN  
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN  
VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN EAST 5 TO  
7 MPH UNTIL 1400, THEN SOUTHEAST UNTIL 1700,  
THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN NORTHEAST  
UNTIL 1600, THEN SOUTHEAST 8 TO 11 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 8 2 2 2 3 8 10 11 4 8 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............18 20 22 28 37 43 46 48 50 49 48 46  
RH..............64 59 54 44 31 27 25 25 24 26 29 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW W E E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 6 6 7 10 12 12 13 12 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.6 3.8 3.2 3.2 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE N NE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 9 8 8 8 9 10 8 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 5 11 13 18 21 29 34 22 22 12  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P  
 

 
FORECASTER...PETTETT  
REQUESTED BY...FUELS AFMO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623464.9/BOU  
.DELDT 10/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JPAPENFUS@ELKCREEKFIRE.ORG,JARRED.GORDON@USDA.GOV  
 
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