688  
FNUS71 KBOX 120742  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY BROOK WMA/WCE RX FIRE...MASSWILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
342 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE MOVE BY TO THE NORTH TODAY, BRINGING VERY DRY AND  
COOLER CONDITIONS WITH LESS WIND. LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS ARE  
POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY, OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY  
THURSDAY.  
 
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO BE 20 TO  
25 PERCENT TODAY, AND 50 TO 60 PERCENT THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............24.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...27.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8.  
CEILING (KFT).......15.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5AM  
SKY (%).........15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............34  
DEWPOINT........24  
RH..............65  
HEAT INDEX (F)..28  
20 FT WIND DIR..N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8  
20 FT WIND GUST.21  
SURFACE WND DIR.N  
SURFACE WND SPD.8  
SURFACE WND GST.21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  
LVORI...........3  
ADI.............8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR  
CEILING (KFT)...15  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............20 DECREASING TO 11.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...24.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH EARLY.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH EARLY.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................8 TO 17 INCREASING TO 27 EARLY, THEN INCREASING  
TO 31 TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 21 TO 25 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......13 DECREASING TO 9.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 49 57 37 25 29 39 41 43 43 57 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 31 31 33 36 39 42 45 46 47 47 47  
DEWPOINT........22 20 19 17 14 12 11 11 10 11 11 12  
RH..............66 63 61 50 41 32 28 26 23 24 23 25  
HEAT INDEX (F)..26 24 24 27 30 34 38 42 44 45 45 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 20 18 16 14 13 12 9 9 9 9  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5  
SURFACE WND GST.20 18 20 18 16 14 13 12 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 15 16 16 13 12 10 8 8 7 7  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2  
ADI.............8 17 27 40 39 37 36 34 31 31 25 21  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 11 18 27 26 25 25 24 22 22 21 18  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...15 13 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 9.0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............16 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...24.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST EARLY, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT  
AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 TO 7.  
CEILING (KFT).......8.0 DECREASING TO 1.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........79 90 91 93 92 92  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SN/FG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............43 38 34 32 30 29  
DEWPOINT........14 18 22 23 24 25  
RH..............30 44 61 71 78 87  
HEAT INDEX (F)..41 34 31 29 26 24  
20 FT WIND......N 5 NE 5 E 5 E 3 SE 3 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 9 9 10  
SURFACE WIND....N 5 NE 5 E 5 E 3 SE 3 E 5  
SURFACE WND GST.9 10 9 9 9 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 800 1100 1100 1000 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 NE 8 E 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 6  
ADI.............4 6 5 4 4 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 6 8 9 7 7  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...8.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............27.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...23.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (30100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................6 TO 15 INCREASING TO 18 TO 27 IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......1.0 INCREASING TO 2.5 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 3.5 EARLY DECREASING TO 3.0 LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........92 87 81  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0  
TEMP............29 34 43  
DEWPOINT........25 26 28  
RH..............87 74 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..24 29 39  
20 FT WIND......E 5G10 E 6G15 E 7G15  
SURFACE WIND....E 5G10 E 6G15 E 7G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1900 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 SE 10 SE 10  
LVORI...........6 3 2  
ADI.............6 19 27  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 17 30  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...1.0 2.5 3.5  
 
 
FORECASTER...BELK  
REQUESTED BY...ALEX ENTRUP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2505912.0/BOX  
.DELDT 03/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALEX.ENTRUP@MASS.GOV  
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