131  
FNUS71 KBOX 170852  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANCES CRANE SOUTH RX BURN 20250417...MASSWILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
452 AM EDT THU APR 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH TODAY. DRY, WITH  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 45 PERCENT. WINDS DIMINISH  
TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY, WITH  
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............31.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................12.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5AM  
SKY (%).........12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............38  
DEWPOINT........31  
RH..............76  
HEAT INDEX (F)..31  
20 FT WIND DIR..W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10  
20 FT WIND GUST.18  
SURFACE WND DIR.W  
SURFACE WND SPD.10  
SURFACE WND GST.18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  
LVORI...........4  
ADI.............12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR  
CEILING (KFT)...25  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................31 TO 39 INCREASING TO 50 TO 57 EARLY, THEN  
INCREASING TO 66 TO 72 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 68.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 20 AROUND NOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 7 6 8 13 22 16 9 8 3 4 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 38 41 44 46 48 50 52 53 54 53 53  
DEWPOINT........31 30 31 31 31 33 33 33 34 33 33 32  
RH..............76 73 67 60 55 56 52 48 48 45 46 44  
HEAT INDEX (F)..32 32 35 39 41 43 46 52 53 54 53 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND GST.17 17 17 17 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.3 2.3 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 20 18 17 18 18 20 20 18 21  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............31 39 50 57 57 57 66 67 72 67 50 68  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 27 36 44 45 48 59 61 66 57 37 57  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR GD GD FR PR FR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............30.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...33.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................64 DECREASING TO 3 TO 8.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT, THEN  
INCREASING TO 25 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........1 3 13 15 5 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 47 43 40 37 36  
DEWPOINT........31 31 31 31 31 30  
RH..............46 53 62 70 79 79  
HEAT INDEX (F)..51 44 40 37 34 33  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 6 W 5 W 5 W 3 W 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 10 8 7 6  
SURFACE WIND....W 8 W 6 W 5 W 5 W 3 W 3  
SURFACE WND GST.15 13 10 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 800 600 500 400 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18 NW 15 W 13 NW 9 NW 9 NW 8  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............64 7 6 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 10 7 4 3 2  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 20 25  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...33.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15  
TO 22 MPH EARLY.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (31500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................6 TO 14 INCREASING TO 24, THEN INCREASING TO 38  
TO 46 EARLY DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 13.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........1 15 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............36 49 54  
DEWPOINT........30 33 33  
RH..............79 54 45  
HEAT INDEX (F)..33 47 54  
20 FT WIND......W 3G6 SW 6G9 SW 12G18  
SURFACE WIND....W 3G6 SW 6G9 SW 12G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1600 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 SW 12 SW 22  
LVORI...........4 2 1  
ADI.............7 24 46  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 16 32  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...BELK  
REQUESTED BY...ALEX ENTRUP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510784.0/BOX  
.DELDT 04/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALEX.ENTRUP@MASS.GOV  
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