011  
FNUS71 KBOX 170943  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MSSF -SOUTH TRACT-UNIT CC01...MA DCR FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
543 AM EDT THU APR 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH TODAY. DRY, WITH  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 35 PERCENT. WINDS DIMINISH  
TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY, WITH  
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............31 DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................31 INCREASING TO 48 EARLY, THEN INCREASING TO  
64 TO 71 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 79  
EARLY INCREASING TO 96 TO 105 DECREASING TO 95  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 105.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 20 EARLY, THEN INCREASING TO  
25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 4 3 11 11 7 4 7 8 7 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 39 43 47 50 53 54 56 56 56 56  
DEWPOINT........30 30 30 31 32 32 33 32 31 31 28  
RH..............73 70 60 52 50 44 45 40 38 38 35  
HEAT INDEX (F)..33 33 38 43 47 53 54 56 56 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9  
SURFACE WND GST.16 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.8 4.4 5.1 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 20 18 17 18 20 21 21 22 22  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............31 48 64 71 79 96 105 105 105 95 105  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 32 45 50 57 71 87 105 106 106 101  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 20 20 20 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............28.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...34.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (58400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................82 DECREASING TO 3 TO 7.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT, THEN  
INCREASING TO 25 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 3 5 4 18 20 15 10 5 4 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 50 47 45 43 42 41 38 37 36 35 34  
DEWPOINT........29 29 29 30 30 30 29 28 28 27 27 27  
RH..............37 43 48 54 59 61 62 67 70 69 72 75  
HEAT INDEX (F)..54 48 45 44 41 42 41 38 37 36 35 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 13 10 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 6  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SURFACE WND GST.15 13 13 10 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW W W NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 16 14 13 10 10 8 7 8 8 8 7  
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............82 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 27 8 7 5 5 3 2 3 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 25 25  
 

 
FORECASTER...BELK  
REQUESTED BY...AARON WHIDDON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510820.0/BOX  
.DELDT 04/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.WHIDDON@MASS.GOV  
 
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