681  
FNUS71 KBOX 180921  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EXTRAVAGANJA PUBLIC SAFETY DETAILS...GREENFIELD FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
521 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MAINLY DRY TODAY WITH AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST WIND. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RISK FOR SPOTTY SHOWERS LATE THIS  
AFTERNOON AS WELL.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (128100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................44 INCREASING TO 75 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 94 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 105 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 85 INCREASING TO 105 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 70 66 62 63 64 65  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............66 69 73 76 78 79 78  
RH..............68 63 55 52 48 49 50  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 9 9 10 10 9 9  
SURFACE WND GST.18 20 21 22 23 23 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 25 26 28 28 29  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............44 75 94 105 105 85 105  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 62 88 113 120 121 128  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL JUST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 23 MPH  
UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (78600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (11900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2 UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
ADI.................87 DECREASING TO 9 TO 15 UNTIL JUST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........66 66 66 63 60 57 56 54 52 49 47 44  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 73 70 68 65 63 61 58 55 54 51 49  
RH..............54 57 63 65 70 72 67 69 69 66 68 68  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.22 21 18 17 15 14 14 15 15 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.4 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 20 14 17 21 23 21 20 17 18 20 21  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 M M M M  
ADI.............87 13 9 12 14 15 14 13 M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..79 40 12 20 31 42 36 32 26 34 43 52  
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR PR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...BELK  
REQUESTED BY...CAPT. ALEX COOLEU  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2510922.0/BOX  
.DELDT 04/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALEX.COOLEY@GREENFIELD-MA.GOV  
 
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