683  
FNUS71 KBOX 011217  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CPED-RX-FMZ08-20250501-01...MASSACHUSETTS ARMY NATIONAL GUARD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
817 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDES DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. WILL HAVE  
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING, TURN SOUTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON, GUST MAY APPROACH 15 KNOTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUE RANGES BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT.  
 
INCREASED CLOUD COVER TONIGHT WITH LIGHT RAIN, RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
ARE LESS THAN 0.15". RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REBOUND OVERNIGHT  
WITH MAXIMUM VALUES GREATER THAN 90 PERCENT. AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS  
AND FOG DEVELOP AND LINGER INTO FRIDAY MORNING. PARTIAL CLEARING  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...59.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
9 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO  
12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (21600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................19 TO 26 INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......11 DECREASING TO 10 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 38 23 27 27 21 38 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 56 58 59 59 59 58 57  
DEWPOINT........32 31 31 31 32 32 33 33  
RH..............43 38 36 34 36 36 39 40  
HEAT INDEX (F)..54 56 58 59 59 59 58 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 10 10 12 14 16  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12  
SURFACE WND GST.10 9 9 10 10 12 14 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2  
ADI.............19 25 26 30 31 31 28 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 17 18 21 22 21 20 17  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...13 13 12 11 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 91 PERCENT EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............37 INCREASING TO 46.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...55.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................12 TO 19 DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 UNTIL JUST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
CEILING (KFT).......10 DECREASING TO 2.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........31 41 38 47 53 58 63 69 75 81 88 94  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCT SCT LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 90 90 90  
TEMP............55 52 50 49 48 48 48 48 49 49 50 51  
DEWPOINT........35 36 38 39 40 40 41 43 45 46 46 47  
RH..............47 54 63 68 74 74 77 83 86 89 86 86  
HEAT INDEX (F)..55 52 46 45 44 44 44 43 45 44 45 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 12 12 12 12 14 15 15 16 17 14  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.12 12 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13  
SURFACE WND GST.15 13 12 12 12 12 14 15 15 16 17 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 13 13 13  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............19 12 8 10 11 11 11 12 12 11 11 11  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 9 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 4 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...10 11 11 10 8.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 3.5 2.0  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.  
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................91 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT THROUGH  
EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............51 INCREASING TO 54 EARLY.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...60.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................15 TO 23.  
CEILING (KFT).......1.5 DECREASING TO 0.8 EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN DECREASING TO 0.3 EARLY INCREASING TO 0.8  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 1.0  
INCREASING TO 1.5 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 2.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 93 88 79 71  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RN/FG FOG NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CWR.............90 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 54 57 59 60 60  
DEWPOINT........49 51 53 54 54 54  
RH..............93 90 86 83 81 81  
HEAT INDEX (F)..51 54 57 59 60 60  
20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 16 SW 16 SW 15 SW 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 22 24 25 25  
SURFACE WIND....S 14 S 14 S 16 SW 16 SW 15 SW 16  
SURFACE WND GST.15 16 22 24 25 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 400 500 400 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 15 S 18 SW 20 SW 16 SW 16  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 3  
ADI.............15 16 20 21 18 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 7 8 6 4  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...1.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.0  
 

 
FORECASTER...DOOLEY  
REQUESTED BY...JOEL CARLSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2512508.0/BOX  
.DELDT 05/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOEL.CARLSON@MASS.GOV  
 
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