502  
FNUS71 KBOX 042017  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPKINS HILL FIRE...RI DEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
417 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EDT ON MAY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SW WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST 35 TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON,  
DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET, THEN PICKING UP EVEN STRONG ON TUESDAY,  
GUSTING 40 TO 45 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, THOUGH, WILL  
IMPROVE FROM TODAY'S 28-35 PERCENT TO 40-50 PERCENT ON TUESDAY.  
TUESDAY NIGHT WINDS DIMINISH BUT REMAIN BREEZY. RAIN CHANCES MOVE  
IN TUESDAY NIGHT BUT THE WIDESPREAD, HEAVIER RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE  
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............38.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...66.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 39 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 39 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67000 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................82 TO 105.  
CEILING (KFT).......11 DECREASING TO 7.0 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 23 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0  
TEMP............66 65  
DEWPOINT........37 39  
RH..............34 38  
HEAT INDEX (F)..66 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.38 39  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.12 11  
EYE LVL WND GST.23 23  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.20 18  
SURFACE WND GST.38 39  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 25  
LVORI...........1 1  
ADI.............105 82  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..129 67  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD  
CEILING (KFT)...11 7.0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 46 AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...62.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 15  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (5100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................58 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 10 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
CEILING (KFT).......13 INCREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 25 EARLY DECREASING TO 20  
INCREASING TO 25 DECREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE  
MORNING DECREASING TO 12 DECREASING TO 7.0  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32  
MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 6 8 10 15 10 11 6 7 17 33 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 59 56 54 52 51 51 51 51 51 50 50  
DEWPOINT........40 40 41 42 42 43 45 45 45 46 46 47  
RH..............44 49 57 64 69 74 80 80 80 83 86 89  
HEAT INDEX (F)..62 59 56 54 52 51 51 51 51 51 46 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 21 15 14 15 14 14 13 13 14 14 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.19 13 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.16 15 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9  
SURFACE WND GST.32 21 15 14 15 14 14 13 13 14 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 18 16 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5  
ADI.............58 14 14 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 11 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...13 20 25 25 20 20 20 25 25 20 12 7.0  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............49.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...70.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 36 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 46 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 46 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 30  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (45300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......12 INCREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 25 EARLY DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN  
THE MORNING DECREASING TO 15 INCREASING TO 20  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 25.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 36 33 26 19 12 11 11 10 14 17 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 53 57 61 65 68 69 70 70 69 68 66  
DEWPOINT........48 49 50 50 49 49 49 49 49 49 48 48  
RH..............89 86 77 67 56 51 49 47 47 49 49 52  
HEAT INDEX (F)..51 53 57 61 65 68 69 70 70 69 68 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 13 14 15 17 18 21 21 22 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 18 21 22 25 30 36 40 43 44 46  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 7 8 8 9 10 11 13 13 13 13  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 11 13 13 15 18 22 24 26 26 28  
SURFACE WND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 12 12 13 14 15 17 18 21 21 22 22  
SURFACE WND GST.16 17 18 21 22 25 30 36 40 43 44 46  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 20 22 24 25 26 26 26 28 29 30  
LVORI...........5 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............14 11 28 38 46 58 64 64 60 61 57 56  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 9 19 25 31 41 45 45 41 42 38 38  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...12 20 25 20 20 15 20 20 25 25 25 25  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRW  
REQUESTED BY...GREG RATHBUN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2612672.0/BOX  
.DELDT 05/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.RATHBUN@DEM.RI.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MA Page
The Nexlab RI Page
The Nexlab NH Page
The Nexlab CT Page Main Text Page