403  
FNUS71 KBOX 051844  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHFIELD BRUSHFIRE JOHN FORD RD...DCR FIRE CONTROL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
244 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 EDT ON MAY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MAINLY DRY WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS. LOW RISK FOR A SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM. GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE  
OVERNIGHT, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN SPEED AFTER SUNSET.  
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS SHOULD ARRIVE TOWARDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............47.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...77.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 37 TO 38 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (237300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................105.  
CEILING (KFT).......20.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
21 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 39 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............76 76 77  
DEWPOINT........48 47 47  
RH..............37 36 35  
HEAT INDEX (F)..76 76 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 32  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.21 21 19  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.15 15 14  
SURFACE WND GST.35 35 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.7 7.6 7.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.37 38 38  
LVORI...........1 1 1  
ADI.............105 105 105  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..246 250 237  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL EXL  
CEILING (KFT)...20 20 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............48.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...75.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 17  
MPH UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (89200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................75 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 7 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
CEILING (KFT).......20 DECREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 9.0 EARLY DECREASING TO 8.0 LATE  
IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 9.0 INCREASING TO  
10 INCREASING TO 15 INCREASING TO 20 AFTER  
MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO 13 DECREASING TO 10  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 74 81 86 85 89 81 76 75 69 66 67  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 73 69 65 62 61 60 58 57 56 55 55  
DEWPOINT........47 49 49 49 49 48 49 49 48 48 49 48  
RH..............37 43 49 56 62 62 67 72 72 74 80 77  
HEAT INDEX (F)..75 73 69 65 62 61 60 58 57 56 55 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S SW SW SW S SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 20 20 18 17 17 17 16 17 17 17  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S SW SW SW S SW S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.18 15 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S S SW SW SW S SW S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.13 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.30 25 20 20 18 17 17 17 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 21 17 16 15 15 13 10 10 12 12 13  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI.............75 29 15 14 13 10 8 7 7 8 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..89 20 10 7 5 6 5 4 4 6 5 7  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...20 15 9.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 10 15 20 20 13 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...BELK  
REQUESTED BY...STATE FIREFIGHTER 2 ZACHARY FAVREAU  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2612814.0/BOX  
.DELDT 05/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FAVREAUZJ10@GMAIL.COM  
 
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