610
FNUS51 KBUF 272105
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 PM EST THU NOV 27 2025
DISCUSSION
COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, ALONG WITH
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN LATER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS
TRANSIENT HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA BRINGING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MAINLY DRY WEATHER ON SATURDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
BRINGS A ROUND OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
NYZ201-280900-
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-
404 PM EST THU NOV 27 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 36 21 36
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 58 96 52
AM WIND (MPH) W 14 G31 W 6
PM WIND (MPH) SW 15 G34 W 15 G30 W 10 G25 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.16 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 10 8 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5300 80 4680
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 20 W 29 NW 19 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 153700 1520 60840
DISPERSION INDEX 0 154 2 61
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ200-280900-
SOUTHERN TIER-
404 PM EST THU NOV 27 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 70 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 35 21 35
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 99 51 96 47
AM WIND (MPH) W 15 G32 W 5
PM WIND (MPH) W 15 G34 W 15 G30 W 10 G23 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.17 0.05 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 12 11 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5610 40 5300
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 19 W 33 W 22 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 185130 880 53000
DISPERSION INDEX 0 185 1 53
REMARKS...NONE.
EXTENDED FORECAST
SATURDAY NIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
SUNDAY
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MONDAY
RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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