898
FNUS51 KBUF 281804
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
104 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025
DISCUSSION
COLD AIR FLOWING ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH TONIGHT, ALONG WITH
BRISK WINDS THAT WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS
TRANSIENT HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA BRINGING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MAINLY DRY WEATHER ON SATURDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
BRINGS A ROUND OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
NYZ201-282100-
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-
104 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 21 36
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 57 100 51
AM WIND (MPH) W 13 G29 W 7
PM WIND (MPH) W 14 G30 W 11 G28 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.08 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 4
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5160 4330
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 29 NW 21 W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 149640 0 60620
DISPERSION INDEX 150 0 61
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ200-282100-
SOUTHERN TIER-
104 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 60 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 21 35
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 52 97 44
AM WIND (MPH) W 14 G30 W 6
PM WIND (MPH) W 14 G30 W 11 G27 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.07 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 4
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5590 5090
TRANSPORT WIND (KTS) W 32 W 19 W 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 178880 0 55990
DISPERSION INDEX 179 0 56
REMARKS...NONE.
EXTENDED FORECAST
SATURDAY NIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
SUNDAY
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MONDAY
A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
TUESDAY
CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...LIGHT WINDS.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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