793  
FNUS75 KBYZ 021338  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH CREEK PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
638 AM MST TUE DEC 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON DECEMBER 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...THIS IS A RESUBMISSION. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE FROM THE  
EARLIER SUBMISSION...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SNOW WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE BURN SITE TODAY INTO TONIGHT, WITH 3  
TO 6 INCHES FORECAST. THE CHANCE OF SEEING 8 OR MORE INCHES HAS  
DECREASED TO 15 PERCENT. OTHERWISE, GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO  
IMPACT THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING  
BEFORE DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIDGETOP WINDS LOOK  
TO REMAIN BREEZY TONIGHT, SO SURFACE WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL  
LIKELY REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST, BUT PERIODS OF DOWNSLOPE WINDS  
COULD DEVELOP (OVERALL LOW CHANCE). WEDNESDAY WILL BE A DRY DAY.  
ARENDS  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-26.  
MIN HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE  
MORNING, DECREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 40 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 90 94 93 93 92 92 93 91 95  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............20 21 22 23 24 24 24 24 24 22  
RH..............95 90 93 96 100 96 92 89 89 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 12 11 10 10 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 26 25 23 22 22 21 18 18  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-16.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........96 97 96 94 93 87 92 93 91 88 86 87  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............21 21 20 19 18 17 17 16 16 15 14 14  
RH..............90 91 91 92 92 91 92 90 92 92 92 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....21-25.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75-79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........85 78 67 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............14 16 22 22  
RH..............92 92 88 78  
20 FT WIND......W 5G10 SW 6G11 SW 8G15 SW 11G20  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARENDS  
REQUESTED BY...GREG OYLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526632.2/BYZ  
.DELDT 12/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREGORY.OYLER@USDA.GOV  
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