562
FXUS62 KCAE 122340
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
640 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN HOLDS OFF UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/
KEY MESSAGE(S):
- NONE
WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES AHEAD OF BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST AS THE NIGHT GOES ON.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S BY
DAYBREAK. NORMALLY COLDER AND SHELTERED LOCATIONS COULD FALL
INTO THE MID-30S.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
KEY MESSAGE(S):
- DRY HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY.
DEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS SERIES OF SHORTWAVES REMAIN TO OUR NORTH. TEMPS
WILL STEADILY MODERATE EACH DAY AS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH
SLIDES OVERHEAD AND PERSISTENTLY LOW PWAT'S ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF SUN
EACH DAY. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE LOW-MID 70'S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW 40'S.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
KEY MESSAGE(S):
- DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM PERIOD
DESPITE AN APPROACHING FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THE
DRY PERIOD INTO SATURDAY, SO THE WARMING TRENDS WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. A STRONG LOW WILL DIG SOUTH INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND PUSH A SURFACE FRONT TOWARDS OUR AREA BY SUNDAY.
DESPITE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT, MOISTURE IS STILL
VERY LIMITED WITH PWAT'S REMAINING BELOW 0.5". THIS FRONT IS THEN
EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH SUNDAY WITH WHAT LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY WINDY
SYSTEM; EC EFI IS ALREADY HIGHLIGHTING SUNDAY FOR HIGHLY ANOMALOUS
WINDS AND GUSTS. THESE WINDS THOUGH SHOULD REMAIN UNACCOMPANIED AS
LOW PWAT'S AND RELATIVELY WEAK FORCING WILL NOT BE ABLE TO DEVELOP
MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP. BEYOND SUNDAY, THE AIRMASS DOES NOT LOOK
TERRIBLY COOL, SO ONLY A MODEST COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR FOR MAJORITY OF THE NIGHT, WITH ONLY THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME THIN CIRRUS MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED
AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EITHER OUT OF THE WEST OR VARIABLE
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS THEN REMAINING OUT OF THE WEST
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY AROUND 5 KNOTS. DUE TO HOW DRY THE
AIRMASS REMAINS, CONFIDENCE IN ANY FOG RESTRICTIONS AT THE
TERMINALS IS LOW FOR THURSDAY MORNING, THOUGH SOME BRIEF
REDUCTIONS ARE TYPICALLY PRONE AGS/OGB CAN'T BE TOTALLY RULED
OUT.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
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