068
FXUS62 KCAE 071119
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
619 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATES TO THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 12Z. LAKE WIND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELED AS GUSTS ON LAKES HAVE DIMINISHED AND WINDS
ALOFT CONTINUE TO DECREASE.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
FOLLOWED BY A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE #1: TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
FOLLOWED BY A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP NEXT WEEK.
COLD ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LEADING TO
TEMPERATURES LIKELY AROUND 10 DEGREES COLDER TODAY THAN
YESTERDAY. RELATIVELY STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OVERHEAD WILL LEAD TO
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 20S (TEENS IN SHELTERED
LOCATIONS), EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT/MORNING IN THE
PERIOD, ALTHOUGH WITH WINDS REMAINING LIGHT, RELATIVELY HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN REMAINING ABOVE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA.
UPPER RIDGING LATE THIS WEEKEND WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE
CENTRAL US WITH BLENDED GUIDANCE FAVORING ABOVE WELL NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK; TEMPS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ARE
LIKELY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS POSSIBLY GETTING INTO THE 70'S TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANTLY MORE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS A FRONT
WILL LIKELY BE NEAR THE AREA, INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN.
AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED OFF THE COAST THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE
TURNED NORTHWESTERLY AND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THAT DIRECTION THROUGH
THE DAY. SURFACE WINDS HAVE MOSTLY DECOUPLED PRIOR TO SUNRISE, WITH
LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BEING INDICATED. HOWEVER AFTER SUNRISE AS
MIXING TAKES HOLD, WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS, WITH
SOME GUSTS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 15-20 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECOUPLE AGAIN TOWARDS SUNSET, WITH LIGHT
AND VARIABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
WITH THE DRY AIRMASS AND DOWNSLOPING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS,
EXPECTING THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT
ALL TAF LOCATIONS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...NO ANTICIPATED AVIATION CONCERNS THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE MOVING INTO MID-WEEK AS
ANOTHER SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE REGION AND BRINGS RAIN POTENTIAL
ALONG WITH IT.G WITH IT.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...73
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page