645
FXUS62 KCAE 011045
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
645 AM EDT WED APR 1 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR THE 12Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAINFALL CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAINFALL CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEK.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS FAIRLY HIGH IN THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE BERMUDA SURFACE HIGH IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. MEANWHILE, THE UPPER RIDGE HANGS
OUT OVERHEAD THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH SOME AMPLIFYING EXPECTED DUE
TO A DIGGING TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS SUCH, GENERALLY SOUTHERLY
WINDS CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE AND
BRING CHANCES FOR A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY. THE MAIN EXCEPTION TO DAILY PRECIP CHANCES LOOKS TO BE
THURSDAY AS SOME DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN. AN
APPROACHING TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRING SOME
HIGHER CHANCES FOR RAIN OR STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH SUNDAY
CURRENTLY LOOKING LIKE THE HIGHEST CHANCES. IT'S WORTH NOTING
THAT THE HIGH TEMPS EACH DAY WILL BE PARTIALLY DEPENDENT ON HOW
MUCH CLOUD COVER WE SEE. THIS AFTERNOON IS ANTICIPATED TO BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SO WE MAY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN CURRENT
FORECAST HIGHS.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SOME PERIODIC RESTRICTIONS AT AGS AND OGB THIS MORNING, THEN VFR
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN SOME FOG IN THE EASTERN MIDLANDS AND
INTO THE CSRA. AGS AND OGB HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING REDUCED
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES DUE DO THIS. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE
THROUGH ABOUT 14Z BEFORE VFR CONDITIONS RETURN. LOW TO MID LEVEL
CLOUDS LIKE WE'VE SEEN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS IS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN TODAY AS WE MOVE INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE CLEARING SOME
OVERNIGHT. A ROGUE SHOWER COULD AFFECT ONE OF THE TERMINALS, BUT
CHANCES REMAIN LOW. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY FOG TO
REDEVELOP LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TOMORROW MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST,
GENERALLY BETWEEN 5-10 KTS, AFTER ABOUT 14Z BEFORE BECOMING MORE
SOUTHERLY AFTER 20Z OR SO.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...SOME MORNING STRATUS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH INCREASED MOISTURE IN PLACE. BETTER
CHANCES FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...29
AVIATION...29
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