241
FXUS62 KCAE 120645
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
245 AM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES STILL EXPECTED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS, CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS, CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
BROAD UPPER AND SURFACE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGHOUT THE WEEK BRINGING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS. MONDAY IS ABOUT THE ONLY DAY
WITH SOME FORECAST UNCERTAINTY, WITH SOME GUIDANCE SHOWING A
NOTABLE FOG-STRATUS DECK DEVELOPING UNDERNEATH THE PIVOTING
RIDGE. HOWEVER, EVEN THE MOST AGGRESSIVE GUIDANCE FOR THIS
CLOUD COVER STILL MIX OUT BY EARLY AFTERNOON, SO ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPS LIKELY EITHER WAY. BEYOND MONDAY, NEAR RECORD HIGHS WITH
MULTIPLE DAYS ABOVE 90 F ARE LIKELY BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
NAEFS AND EC EFI ARE CONSISTENT ACROSS THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE
SUITES WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS AND EXTREMELY ANOMALOUS HEIGHTS
AND TEMPS ALOFT.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
BRIEF VIS RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
AT AGS AND OGB.
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, AGS AND OGB MAY EXPERIENCE
BRIEF, SHALLOW VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS BETWEEN 08Z AND 12Z. MIFG
OR A TEMPO GROUP MAY NEED TO BE ADDED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
TYPICAL EARLY MORNING RESTRICTIONS AT THESE FOG-PRONE SITES. THE
OTHER SITES ARE UNLIKELY TO SEE ANY RESTRICTIONS THROUGH THE 24
HOUR TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR CALM WINDS THROUGH ABOUT 15Z OR 16Z
BEFORE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 7-10 KTS. A FEW GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 KTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME HIGHER CLOUDS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO MOVE OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAY WITH A FEW
CUMULUS AS WELL.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST, WITH LOW CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS IN
THE EXTENDED.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...CJR
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page