982
FXUS62 KCAE 131054
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
654 AM EDT MON APR 13 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS, CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS, CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
BROAD UPPER AND SURFACE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGHOUT THE WEEK BRINGING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS. TODAY IS ABOUT THE ONLY DAY
WITH SOME FORECAST UNCERTAINTY, ALBEIT QUITE SMALL, WITH SOME
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOPING UNDERNEATH THE PIVOTING RIDGE.
DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY THIS DECK THINS OUT COULD SHIFT HIGH
TEMPS BY A FEW DEGREES EITHER WAY, IN THE LOW-MID 80'S. BEYOND
TODAY, NEAR RECORD HIGHS WITH MULTIPLE DAYS ABOVE 90 F ARE
LIKELY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. NAEFS AND EC EFI ARE CONSISTENT
ACROSS THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE SUITES WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS
AND EXTREMELY ANOMALOUS HEIGHTS AND TEMPS ALOFT. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR ANY RAIN OR EVEN A FRONT OF ANY SORT IS LATE NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH 13Z OR SO, THEN VFR.
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE LED TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BUT
THE AIR MASS AS A WHOLE REMAINS VERY DRY. SHALLOW MOISTURE NEAR
THE SURFACE HAS LED TO EARLY MORNING FOG AT AGS AND OGB. SCT TO
BKN HIGH CLOUDS AND A 30 KT LLJ SHOWN ON THE KCAE VAD WIND
PROFILE SHOULD HELP PREVENT WIDESPREAD FOG. ANY IFR/MVFR FOG IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER 13Z.
WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE S OR SSW AFTER 15Z WITH SPEEDS
FROM 5 TO 10 KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS WILL
HINDER CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY WITH NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED
AT THE TERMINALS. ANOTHER 30 KT LLJ AND DRY AIR SHOULD LIMIT THE
EXTENT OF ANY FOG OR STRATUS THAT DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK, THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS REMAINS
LOW.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...CJR
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