400
FXUS62 KCAE 051043
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
643 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. WARMING TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND BUT WITH DRY CONDITIONS. DIURNAL
RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: WARMING TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND BUT WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DEEP RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. FOLLOWING A RELATIVELY DRY
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH WELL BELOW AVERAGE PWAT'S AND SURFACE DEW
POINTS, MOISTURE RETURNS WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA
ALONG WITH STEADILY BUILDING HEIGHTS; 90TH PERCENTILE HEIGHTS AND
TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE PERIOD, SO TEMPS UP AROUND
90 F ARE LIKELY EACH DAY. RAIN CHANCES HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY
WHEN WE REACH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN
SHOWERS AND STORMS. DIURNAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED MOST DAYS NEXT WEEK WITH A FAIRLY TYPICALLY SUMMER
PATTERN IN PLACE.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD.
ALL SITES VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE STILL
IN CONTROL ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
AT ISSUANCE TIME, THEN TURN MORE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WITH
SPEEDS AROUND 6 KNOTS BY LATE MORNING. SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY
CLEAR, WITH POSSIBLY A FEW THIN CIRRUS PASSING ACROSS THE
REGION. WITH THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, DO NOT EXPECT ANY FOG
FORMATION.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO HANG ON THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SOME INCREASE IN
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY COULD BRING PERIODS OF
RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS/STORMS.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION...CAL
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