746
FXUS62 KCAE 060106
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
906 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DEEP RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TODAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE QUITE DRY, WITH
PWATS AROUND 50-70% OF NORMAL AND AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS FALLING INTO
THE 50S. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND SOME WEAKNESS IN THE
UPPER RIDGE LEADING TO STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 90 EACH DAY INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SMALL NBM INTERQUARTILE RANGES INDICATING
FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY
WHEN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
STARTS TO TRAVERSE THE REGION. AS SUCH, DIURNAL SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED MOST DAYS NEXT WEEK WITH A FAIRLY
TYPICALLY SUMMER PATTERN IN PLACE.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
APART FROM SHALLOW FOG AT AGS, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
A DRY AIR MASS WILL HINDER FOG DEVELOPMENT AGAIN TONIGHT.
HOWEVER RIVER FOG COULD DEVELOP EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AT AGS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
OVER THE REGION TONIGHT FURTHER REDUCING THE CONFIDENCE IN ANY
FOG DEVELOPMENT. IF FOG DEVELOPS AT AGS, EXPECT BRIEF AND
PERIODIC VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS FROM SHALLOW FOG BETWEEN 07Z
TO 11Z OR 12Z.
ON SATURDAY, EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS
BY LATE MORNING, RESULTING IN CONDITIONS VERY SIMILAR TO THOSE
OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. DRY AIR WILL PRECLUDE ANY
AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MOISTURE INCREASES EARLY NEXT WEEK
LEADING TO SCATTERED, MAINLY DIURNAL, SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EC
AVIATION...CJR
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