161
FXUS62 KCAE 062339
AFDCAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
739 PM EDT SUN SEP 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1. A RETURN TO SLIGHT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON
SCATTERED CONVECTION FOR THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1. A RETURN TO SLIGHT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
AFTERNOON SCATTERED CONVECTION FOR THE WEEK AHEAD.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST, GLOBAL ENSEMBLES FAVOR BROAD
RIDGING DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS NEXT WEEK. WITH
EASTERLY, ONSHORE FLOW FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK AND DEEPER
SW FLOW FOR THE LATTER PART, WE WILL LIKELY SEE PWAT VALUES
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOST DAYS NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL AFTER MONDAY.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
CONVECTION DIMINISHING THROUGH 02Z, THEN RESTRICTIONS
ASSOCIATED WITH STRATUS AND FOG LATE TONIGHT.
CURRENT CONVECTION WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH OF ALL TAF LOCATIONS
BY 02Z. AFTERWARDS, LINGERING DEBRIS CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY
CLEAR OUT AS LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT.
MVFR/IFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE TERMINALS BETWEEN 06-15Z
MONDAY, WITH THE STRONGEST CONFIDENCE TO OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN TERMINALS. CONDITIONS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE BY MIDDAY
AS CEILINGS LIFT WITH SCT CUMULUS BASES AROUND 3-5 KFT. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 6-9 KT GENERALLY FROM THE NE.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...DIURNAL STORM CHANCES CONTINUE INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.
CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CJR/73
AVIATION...73
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