859
FXUS62 KCHS 141726
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1226 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FEATURE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT,
PROVIDING QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS. IT SHOULD BE ANOTHER GOOD NIGHT
OF RADIATIONAL COOLING UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT/CALM WINDS. LOW
TEMPERATURES SHOULD LARGELY FALL IN THE 40-45 RANGE, EXCEPT UPPER
40S TO AROUND 50 CLOSER TO THE COAST. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
THAT PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA,
ROUGHLY FROM CHATHAM COUNTY SOUTH TO LONG/MCINTOSH. NO MENTION HAS
BEEN ADDED IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME, BUT IT WILL BE SOMETHING TO
MONITOR.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY, BEFORE GETTING
SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY IN ADVANCE OF A
COLD FRONT. SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS, BUT OTHERWISE NO WEATHER CONCERNS. IT WILL BE
WARM BY MID NOVEMBER STANDARDS, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER
70S OVER MOST LOCATIONS, A BIT COOLER AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST. LOWS
WILL AVERAGE IN THE 50-55F RANGE.
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WILL LITTLE
FANFARE, SO A DRY FORECAST PERSISTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR
MONDAY. EXPECT PLENTY OF SUN WITH HIGHS CLOSER TO SEASONAL
NORMS.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE MIDWEEK TIMEFRAME. A
SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATER
TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY, BUT BEST FORCING REMAINS TO THE
NORTH, SO THE FORECAST REMAINS RAIN-FREE. MORE UNCERTAINTY
ARISES LATE WEEK AS ANOTHER FRONT POSSIBLY MAKES ITS WAY TOWARDS
THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
PREVAILING VFR THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT TOWARDS DAYBREAK AS KSAV, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW SO OPTED TO MAINTAIN VFR AT THIS TIME.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: PREVAILING VFR.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT: NO MARINE CONCERNS THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE IN PLACE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE
REGION. EXPECT WINDS GENERALLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS, INITIALLY FROM
THE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AND ENDING WESTERLY BY
DAYBREAK. SEAS WILL BE 1-2 FEET.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON
SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE GETS
SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CHARLESTON COUNTY NEARSHORE WATERS
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY, BUT IT COULD LATER NEED TO BE
EXPANDED TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF THE OTHER WATERS, PARTICULARLY
THE OUTER GEORGIA MARINE ZONE. THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. NO ADDITIONAL MARINE
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
AMZ350.
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...
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