241  
FNUS72 KCHS 160715  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMF C125...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
215 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE CENTER OF A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS OVER THE  
REGION TODAY. THIS AIRMASS WILL PROVIDE VERY DRY AIR, SUNNY  
CONDITIONS, AND WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE BETWEEN 25  
TO 30 PERCENT AT THE BURN SITE TODAY. WEAK TRANSPORT WINDS  
EXPECTED BY 1800, SPEEDS LESS THAN 5 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF  
THE NIGHT. LIGHT RETURN FLOW WILL BRING WARMING TEMPERATURES  
AND DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY.  
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS TIMED TO SWEEP FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS  
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT, VEERING WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. IN  
ADDITION, THE FRONT COMBINED WITH A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW MAY  
SUPPORT AN AREA OF LIGHT RAIN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE  
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH A RIDGE REMAINING THROUGH MID-WEEK.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............42.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 1 1 2 2 2 3 5  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 40 43 45 46 47 47 46  
RH..............36 28 27 26 27 27 31 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 4 4 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 11 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.5 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 12 12 12 12 12 12  
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............10 19 29 42 40 39 40 23  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....1800  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 9 11 17 7  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 37 36 36 36 37  
RH..............50 72 82 85 92 92  
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 2 S 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2  
LVORI...........2 4 6 6 8 8  
ADI.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............79.  
INVERSION END.......0800  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........14 29 56 64  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 47 61 63  
RH..............92 83 53 48  
20 FT WIND......S 3G11 SW 4G13 SW 6G16 SW 5G13  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 3200 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 4 SW 18 SW 22 SW 14  
LVORI...........6 4 1 1  
ADI.............4 29 73 59  
 
 
FORECASTER...DIXON  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WETZEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600264.0/CHS  
.DELDT 01/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WETZELWILSON@USDA.GOV  
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